And the way this shifted my view on tech progress within the final half-year.
I used to assume AI was unstoppable. (Similar to Sam Altman.)
I keep in mind studying about AI fixing protein folding and pondering, ‘That is unstoppable.’ However six months later, the dialog shifted to power prices and scaling issues.
It felt like this know-how had no higher restrict. However then I began trying deeper. I spotted that even the largest machines can grind to a halt with out the appropriate gasoline.
Over the previous half-year, I’ve change into satisfied that AI will attain a plateau if it doesn’t remedy a number of core issues.
These are the pillars of AI’s future, and every one has cracks. Let’s break down why I feel these cracks matter and what would possibly occur if we don’t patch them.
I’m not a pessimist by nature.
However I can’t assist however surprise if Sam Altman ever has sleepless nights about this.
I imagine that realizing the bounds of a factor is one of the simplest ways to make it higher. Right here’s the place I see the breaking factors and why they’ve modified how I view tech progress.
